Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 4 July 2026 at 22:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 3rd strongest of the 47 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 7 July 2026. 8 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flood Watch issued July 3 at 9:09PM CDT until July 5 at 7:00PM CDT by NWS Des Moines IA
Urban PEI: 204,274 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- July 8, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
- August 12, 2026 · score 43 · 9.6 km
- July 7, 2026 · score 43 · 11.6 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.81/1 |
| Coordinates | 41.9762, -91.9699 |
| Nearest City | Cedar Rapids (28 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 204.3K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-08T12:00:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flood Watch_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.806754d6e1feecb57ab0021c7acdd48b |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-08T12:00:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-07-04T02:14:04.810Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flood Watch |
| Urgency | Future |
| Certainty | Possible |
| AreaDesc | Polk; Jasper; Marion; Clinton; Scott; Benton; Iowa and 5 more areas |
| Headline | Flood Watch issued July 3 at 9:09PM CDT until July 5 at 7:00PM CDT by NWS Des Moines IA |
| Expires | 2026-07-04T17:15:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Des Moines IA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 10 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.806754d6e1feecb57ab0021c7acdd48b340c6b66.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.042b7755e5d997bb3d2b579d8618d04a7697f642.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.aae51d6032300d4944bb5a7f48fc247cfd0d7c6d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d94d51a89fb69f30080962c450c76a04af6b021b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d94d51a89fb69f30080962c450c76a04af6b021b.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d94d51a89fb69f30080962c450c76a04af6b021b.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.adb6614d56d7a12e1316062d0890c8863e261dc9.004.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.adb6614d56d7a12e1316062d0890c8863e261dc9.005.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.adb6614d56d7a12e1316062d0890c8863e261dc9.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.adb6614d56d7a12e1316062d0890c8863e261dc9.002.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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